Terai unrest and PM’s address
It’s good that PM addressed all the issues raised by the Madheshi groups in the terai region. Following the PM’s address the bloody demonstrations, organized by the groups since mid January has calmed down. It’s much bad that over two dozen people lost their lives during the demonstrations.
But the terai unrest this time left a very very strong message. The Madheshi people of the Terai region developed a strong sense of unity among themselves. It was clearly realized when the Nepali Congress, CPN-UML and even the Maoist couldn’t control the violent protests in the terai. The Madheshi people tactically cut off their political allegiance with other political parties and made themselves united in a common thread of Madheshis. I think this movement has generated a uniformity among Madheshis for their common rights. Interestingly, the Pahadi candidates have much chance to lose his the election from the terai region from this time. The Madheshi people are likely to select their Madhesi candidates and vote for them irrespective of their political allegiance. I think this has clearly demarked Nepal between the Madheshis and Pahadis. Althugh it is not explicit but has remained deep down in the mind and heart of the Madheshi people. With the 49 percent seats for the Terai region, the Madheshis will strive to send their Madhesi candididates in the parliament, thinking that the Madhesi candidates only will speak for their cause. Thus, those Pahadi candidates, who has been elected by the mandates of the Madhesis are likely to lose their vote bank. The Madhesis will try to increase their per cent in the parliament to advocate their cause. At the same time, the impending fear is that India will have strong influence in Nepal’s politics, as majority Madhesi leaders have strong connection with India and Indian leaders. India may try to influence elections to elect the Madhesi candidates, who India thinks will speak for the Indian interest in the parliament. This is one of the challenges, we have to careful. India will then enter Nepal’s parliament. Nobody has to think for the second time to know this fact because the Nepali protesters never destroy the statue of Bhanubhakta, Thirbam Malla, BP Koirala and others. The infiltration from reactionary force and India can be perfectly realized int he protests. It’s a known fact that India never wants stability in Nepal. It was realized when the Maoist leaders and political parties held a meeting under the guidance of Indian government in India. India made it possible for the Maoists and the poltiical parties to talk because it started feeling the trickle down effect in its northern belt. The Indian Maoists, influenced by the Nepal’s Maoists intensified their violence and Indian government also said it found proofs of a close working alliance between the Nepalese and Indian Maoists. India thought shouldn’t continue the conspiratorial game in Nepal because it will ultimately boomrang. So it managed a dialogue between the Maoists and the political parties in India. And India now is thinking of sparking another type of instability in Nepal. It chose the ethnic violence.
India knows that Nepal will never be able to stand on its own in case the communal violence between the Madheshis and Pahadis once takes place here. This is what India wanted and we could see their men playing in the violent demonstrations of the terai.